Ringgit Eases Against US Dollar On US Tariff Adjustments
By Rosemarie Khoo Mohd Sani
KUALA LUMPUR, July 8 (Bernama) -- The ringgit closed lower against the US dollar as market sentiment weakened amid the United States’ (US) latest reciprocal tariff policy adjustments, ahead of Bank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting tomorrow.
At 6 pm, the local note eased to 4.2365/2445 versus the greenback from Monday’s close of 4.2310/2400.
Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said the ringgit depreciated to as low as RM4.2470 to the US dollar during the morning session as worry over the impact of the 25 per cent import tariff by the US has led traders and investors to remain cautious.
However, in the afternoon, the ringgit improved to RM4.2358.
“Generally speaking, there is still room for discussion and negotiations, and the Malaysian government continues to opt for a diplomatic solution as indicated in the Ministry of Investment, Trade and Industry’s (MITI) press statement,” he told Bernama.
The US has imposed a higher tariff of 25 per cent on all Malaysian products sent into the country, separate from all sectoral tariffs, effective Aug 1 this year.
This is one percentage point higher compared to what was announced in April.
MITI said in a statement that Malaysia is committed to continued engagement with the US towards a balanced, mutually beneficial and comprehensive trade agreement.
“Tomorrow, the main focus is on the BNM’s MPC meeting where economists are quite divided on whether the central bank would resort to a 25 basis point cut in the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR).
“In our view, we foresee the BNM would be inclined to reduce the OPR by 25 basis points in order to provide support to domestic demand. As such, dollar-ringgit is expected to maintain its narrow range as traders and investors remain cautious,” said Mohd Afzanizam.
Meanwhile, Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd retained its year-end US dollar-ringgit forecast of 4.08, supported by sound domestic fundamentals.
Eroding confidence in US fiscal management is driving capital flows towards the European Union (EU) and reform-oriented emerging markets.
“Malaysia, with its macro stability and steady foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, stands to gain from this rebalancing.
“A US Federal Reserve (Fed) pivot to interest rate cuts could further lift the ringgit,” said Kenanga in its research note today.
As for potential US tariffs targeting BRICS-aligned economies, the investment bank said any escalation could accelerate moves to develop alternative financial systems.
“Whether BRICS can parlay this into a more coherent geopolitical front remains to be seen, but their response may help reshape the future of global economic and financial architecture,” it added.
At the close, the ringgit traded lower against a basket of major currencies except the Japanese yen.
The local currency appreciated versus the Japanese yen to 2.8970/9026 from 2.9091/9155 at Monday’s close.
It eased against the British pound to 5.7591/7700 from 5.7563/7685 yesterday and declined vis-à-vis the euro to 4.9745/9839 from 4.9647/9752 previously.
Meanwhile, the ringgit traded lower against its ASEAN counterparts.
It declined versus the Thai baht to 13.0182/0488 from 12.9837/13.0173 at yesterday’s close, and slipped vis-à-vis the Singapore dollar to 3.3152/3217 from 3.3096/3172 on Monday.
The ringgit weakened against the Indonesian rupiah to 261.4/262.0 from 260.5/261.2 previously, and edged down versus the Philippine peso to 7.51/7.53 from 7.46/7.48 at Monday’s close.
-- BERNAMA